Nepal and Northern India are not overdue for a huge earth...
Many researchers thought that earthquakes in the Himalayas recur at regular intervals – but an analysis of sediment cores has shown they ...
What’s Happening
Here’s the thing: Many researchers thought that earthquakes in the Himalayas recur at regular intervals – but an analysis of sediment cores has shown they are largely random, and the region has seen far more than we before realised Earth Nepal and Northern India are not overdue for a huge earthquake Many researchers thought that earthquakes in the Himalayas recur at regular intervals – but an analysis of sediment cores has shown they are largely random, and the region has seen far more than we before realised By Alec Luhn 11 February 2026 Facebook / Meta Twitter / X icon Linkedin Reddit Email Core samples from a lake in Nepal reveal a random pattern of historical earthquakes Zakaria Ghazoui-Schaus, BAS While some have argued northern India and western Nepal are overdue for a massive earthquake, an analysis says this is a myth, as the area has been experiencing smaller earthquakes at random for millennia.
How buried cables are revealing Earth’s interior in incredible detail It is common for officials and media to speak about populated areas near fault lines like Istanbul, Seattle and Tokyo being “overdue” for violent earthquakes. Because the central Himalaya fault segment in India and Nepal last had a major recorded earthquake in 1505, some research has suggested that earthquakes there recur about every 500 years, and a solid earthquake is now imminent. (wild, right?)
But scientists have now found at least 50 earthquakes of magnitude 6.
The Details
5 or larger have taken place in this area in the past 6000 years, including eight since 1505 . And these earthquakes have been occurring randomly rather than at regular intervals.
“We have to stop discussing and having long debates over the periodicity of earthquakes in the Himalayas and come to an agreement that it’s a random process … and consider the risk within that framework,” says Zakaria Ghazoui-Schaus at the British Antarctic Survey, who led the study. The collision of the Indian and Eurasian tectonic plates that cast up the Himalaya mountains continues to this day, forming one of the largest seismic zones on the planet.
Why This Matters
The 2400-kilometre fault under the mountain range generates violent earthquakes, such as the magnitude 7.
Scientists and researchers are watching this development closely.
The Bottom Line
This story is still developing, and we’ll keep you updated as more info drops.
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